Russian culture centers representatives in Ukraine oppose Kremlin agression

peacetoukraine's avatarEuromaidan PR

Representatives of Russian culture centers in Ukraine held a press conference on March 5 to express their opposition to the aggressive policy of the Kremlin to “defend” the Russian population, reports Espreso.TV.

The press conference was attended by Yuriy Vakulenko, CEO of the National Museum of Russian Art, Ludmyla Hubianuri, director of the Mikhail Bulgakov Museum, Natalia Tyshayeva, director of the Pushkin Museum, Mykhaylo Reznikovych, general and artistic director of the L. Ukrayinka National Theatre of Russian Drama, and others, reports Espreso. TV.

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Russian propaganda for the benefit of Vladimir Putin’s Reich

Russian propaganda for the benefit of Putin’s Reich

real7772013's avatarVoices of Ukraine

By Dmitry Tymchuk
March 4, 2014 FB Status
Source: https://www.facebook.com/dmitry.tymchuk/posts/464503260345001?stream_ref=5

In place of a foreword:
“…the Germans are not going to do any harm to anyone in the world, but it was necessary to stop the suffering which the whole world had been inflicting on the Germans for 20 years… Germany left the Memel Germans to the mercy of fate when the country accepted the shame and disgrace… Today the Memel Germans again are becoming the citizens of the mighty Reich which decidedly intends to take its fate in hand, even if half of the world does not like it” – Adold Hitler, 1939.

The situation in Ukraine remains very disturbing. Despite the fact that the international community’s attention is focused mainly on the Crimean peninsula now, it is very restless near the eastern borders of Ukraine. According to the latest information, the units of the 4th Tank Division (Naro-Fominsk…

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Russian propaganda for the benefit of Vladimir Putin’s Reich

By Dmitry Tymchuk
March 4, 2014 FB Status
Source: https://www.facebook.com/dmitry.tymchuk/posts/464503260345001?stream_ref=5

In place of a foreword:
“…the Germans are not going to do any harm to anyone in the world, but it was necessary to stop the suffering which the whole world had been inflicting on the Germans for 20 years… Germany left the Memel Germans to the mercy of fate when the country accepted the shame and disgrace… Today the Memel Germans again are becoming the citizens of the mighty Reich which decidedly intends to take its fate in hand, even if half of the world does not like it” – Adold Hitler, 1939.

The situation in Ukraine remains very disturbing. Despite the fact that the international community’s attention is focused mainly on the Crimean peninsula now, it is very restless near the eastern borders of Ukraine. According to the latest information, the units of the 4th Tank Division (Naro-Fominsk, Moscow region), the 20th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade (Volgograd) and the 2nd Separate Special Purpose Brigade (Cherekha, Pskov region) are drawn up there. But the Russian troops, that had been alerted earlier, had to return to their usual positions on March 3.

Are they waiting for anything at the gates of Ukraine? Anything like it was near the border of Georgia in 2008? Now Russian invaders are awaiting Putin’s orders to start an armed aggression against Ukraine. On March 1, the former Ukrainian President Yanukovych asked Putin to use Russia’s armed forces to “restore the legality of peace, law and order, stability, and protection of the population of Ukraine”. The corresponding letter was demonstrated by Russia’s representative to the UN Security Council, Vitaly Churkin, on March 3. So, Russia should attack Ukraine and then protect it from invaders – that is, from themselves.

The Russian law “On Defense” adopted in 1996 provides such a case. And the Russian spy and traitor Yanukovych, who plundered the country and the Ukrainian armed forces and then fled the country ignominiously, is still considered in Russia the legitimate Ukrainian authority. But there is a caveat here. The law states that “…the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can be used operationally outside of the Russian Federation territory in accordance with the generally recognized principles and norms of international law … for the following tasks: …repelling or prevention of an armed attack on another state that has made a proper request to the Russian Federation.”

The caveat is that Russia will need to first attack Ukraine and then to protect the country against its own occupation troops to activate this specific point of the law. Putin who “has lost touch with reality” will not go so far. Compatriots must be protected. The same law, however, provides yet other conditions for use of armed forces abroad. In particular, Russia can use its armed forces in order to “protect the citizens of the Russian Federation outside the territory of the Russian Federation in case of an armed attack.” As the Ukrainian military in the Crimea did not succumb to provocations of the Russian invaders, there was no reason to start warfare against Ukraine. So the Russians exert moral pressure.

Interestingly enough, the Federation Council, adopting the resolution “On the use of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine” on March 1, pointed out that Russia proceeds from “the interests of safety of life of the Russian Federation citizens, our compatriots and the personnel of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.” That is, a loophole was left in the form of “compatriots” to provide at least some justification for the military intervention in Ukraine on the basis of the generally recognized principles and norms of international law. However, as we have already seen from the excerpts of the law “On defense,” there is no mention of any compatriots there. Dr. Goebbels is alive, indeed. To add more reasons for the Russian invaders’ illegal action in the territory of Ukraine, Putin’s propaganda machine has begun to create for Ukraine an image of a country that faces a highly volatile situation. Why, then, according to the law “On defense,” Russian armed forces can also be used abroad “to repel armed attacks on the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, other troops or authorities stationed outside the territory of the Russian Federation” (i.e., in the Crimea where the Black Sea Fleet is located), “to protect citizens of the Russian Federation outside the territory of the Russian Federation from armed attacks.” As evidence of a highly volatile situation in Ukraine, Russian state-run media and politicians have begun to spread outright misinformation.

First, they declare that “huge flows” of Ukrainian refugees flee to Russia. “The influx of refugees has increased significantly today. They are not only the residents of the south-eastern regions, there are people from the center, from the central part, and from the western part of Ukraine,” said Rostov Region Governor Vasily Golubev on March 1. Russia officially declares that over 670 thousand citizens of Ukraine have arrived in Russia since the beginning of the year.

The First TV Channel of Russia even showed a video about the “huge flows” of refugees from Ukraine, though not to Russia but to Poland. And, in fact, not refugees at all. At the 15th second of this First Channel video (http://www.1tv.ru/news/social/253245) a checkpoint can be seen with a sign “Sheginі” which is a village on the border with Poland in Mostyska district, Lviv region (propaganda-putina1.jpg). The newscaster, however, is speaking of “a mass influx of Ukrainian refugees to the southern regions of Russia.” As the “Moskovsky Komsomolets” correspondent aptly noted, ” … a lonely “noble breed” dog wandering in my direction only reinforces the impression of an influx of refugees” at the Veselo-Voznesensky checkpoint near the Russian-Ukrainian border. Second, the next step of Russian misinformation was spreading news about the existence of real threats to the lives of ordinary citizens in the Crimea. So, a member of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Federation Council Igor Morozov stated on March 3 that “the threats are so serious and real for the local Crimean population that it’s nothing to discuss. We arrived on February 26 and there were some very serious street conflicts on that day that resulted in death of three people. Some of those who defended the building of the Verkhovna Rada of Crimea were killed.” “The Verkhovna Rada of the Crimea did everything possible on February 27; it was necessary to use the Crimean self-defense forces in order to take a historic decision on the referendum, and the atmosphere became less tense at once,” he said. The situation is comical and tragic at the same time, since by the time Igor Morozov made his speech, bloggers had already denounced the attempts of “Bandera followers” and “Ukrainian nationalists” to capture the Verkhovna Rada of the Crimea as staged blatantly by the Russian secret services (http://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=581456). The senator also did not explain how the Ukrainian nationalists got modern Russian-made weapons (GM-94 grenade launcher), why they came to the Crimea by a bus with the Crimean registration numbers (propaganda-putina1.jpg) and why the bodies of three killed people were moving (troop1.jpg). The Crimean self-defense forces referred to by the Senator were in fact Russian special forces armed with rifles, machine guns and grenade launchers. Morozov did not tell how the self-defense forces had got all this ammunition since he was playing a role written in advance and being out of touch with reality. Third, denying the facts of illegal staying and actions of the armed forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine. On March 1, the same Senator Morozov denied that the persons (wearing Russian military uniform, helmets and bulletproof vests and with Russian weapons in hands) who seized the Verkhovna Rada and the Council of Ministers of Crimea, were servicemen of the Russian armed forces. Moreover, on March 3, when the invaders were openly moving around Crimea and trying to capture the Ukrainian military units, State Duma Speaker Sergei Naryshkin made it clear that no Russian armed forces units were staying illegally in Ukraine. According to him, “there is no need to bring Russian troops to the territory of Ukraine at the moment.” As for the real plans of Russia concerning Ukraine, we have quite eloquent words said by the same Morozov. When asked by The Kommersant reporter whether the armed forces of the Russian Federation could be used only in Crimea or in the whole country, he said: “The whole Ukraine is at issue. All Ukrainians who are willing to observe the Constitution and laws of Ukraine are being persecuted.” Thus, we have an answer to the question why Russian troops are being drawn up to the eastern borders of Ukraine. Now Ukraine is waiting for just one thing, a provocation by the Russian invaders, the more so as they have seized quite enough weapons from the Ukrainian Navy units to shoot a few of their own countrymen. It may be a kind of Gleiwitz incident, which once became the reason for Germany’s attack on Poland. Even tomorrow we can hear from the main Russian “Dr. Goebbels” Dmitry Kiselev a statement that the Ukrainian army has launched an unprovoked attack against the Third Reich, Vladimir Putin and his dearly beloved countrymen.

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INVASION OF CRIMEA – Summary of March, 4, 2014

Source: Dmitry Tymchuk, Information Resistance

Brothers, here is the status by the end of March 4.

The bad news:

1. The day’s events of the day in the Crimea are clearly not over yet. Current “hot spots:” Evpatoria (Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile regiment) and Sevastopol (Ukrainian Navy Headquarters). Both locations are under assault by provocateurs including “Putin’s tourists” and Russian cossacks. Behind them are lines of armed Russian soldiers. Before the start of the assaults, wives of Ukrainian soldiers – who were trying to block the approach to the Evpatoria base – were forcefully shoved aside. The occupants are playing music through loudspeakers and making demands to surrender, just like the Nazis in WW2. How will it all end? We continue to monitor the situation.

2. Suspicious activity in Perevalnoye (Ukrainian 36th Brigade). Additional invader forces were moved there. Ukrainian military are expecting a night assault.

3. The worst: we’ve already spotted “Russian titushkas” [pro-Kremlin hired thugs] changing into Ukrainian military uniforms (Sevastopol). (In desperate need of video coverage! We implore anyone, please – film everything! TV journalists with professional equipment are in even greater demand.) The imminent arrival of international observers to the Crimea keeps us concerned. If Putin has decided to go to the end (and it seems likely), this night is going to be very difficult. God, give strength to our guys!

The good news:

1. Yesterday’s session of the UN Security Council is already bearing fruit – Putin started backing down. Russian military “exercises” in the areas near the Ukrainian border are scheduled to end on March 7. We will monitor the situation very carefully (plus, information channels have already been established) to determine whether Russian troops will indeed return to their permanent bases. There is some hope that under the international pressure the Kremlin canceled an invasion of Ukraine’s eastern regions. But it is far too early to relax.

2. Starting tomorrow, Crimea becomes the focus of attention of international organizations. Emissaries and observers on very high levels will see everything with their own eyes. Hopefully, they can already see the truth, and are not poisoned by Russian propaganda, as they were just two days ago.

3. Today is the first day when Putin’s propaganda gave way to objective information in the Ukrainian information space. To be honest, we were growing weary of all those crazy fakes from RIA Novosti and such like. Today, the Russian media has tried to drive another wave of misinformation (e.g. “three Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile regiments surrendering to self-defense forces” – priceless!), but few bought it. Which is good. Their mission is to sow panic among us, while our task is to clearly document the actions of the aggressor. This will be useful in the international court.

A personal appeal by Dmitry Tymchuk

A few words about myself. For obvious reasons, my humble person is now in the sights of “kremlinbots” – they say that I’m located in Russia, because my Facebook page says that I “live” in Chita [Russia]. And, they say, clearly I’m spreading lies.

Let me explain. I am the son of a Soviet officer (Ukrainian), was born in Chita, where I lived until I was 6. Then, until the age of 11, I was in the Group of Soviet Troops in Germany (go on, accuse me of being a “German spy”, next). After that, I’ve lived in Ukraine. I am an officer – of reserve, but an officer’s honor is not something you hang by the door when you leave the army. I’m a citizen and a patriot.

And a few words about our alleged misinformation. To be honest, I don’t give a damn who says what about the information we provide. Reasonable people can see that our information is then confirmed by the mass media (we just happen to report it first). The opinions of Putin’s lapdogs are of no interest to us. Please, don’t argue with them in the comments. This is an information war, don’t waste your time and energy in vain. I’m sorry I don’t have the time to delete the comments – I clean some up, but the bastards keep posting. On the other hand, if they’re coming down so hard on us, it means we’re making a difference.

To sum up, we’re standing by for new developments. Let tomorrow turn today’s hope into confidence.

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Anton Shekhovtsov: Is Putin a new Hitler (in the making)?

Anton Shekhovtsov: Is Putin a new Hitler (in the making)?

Source: http://anton-shekhovtsov.blogspot.it/2014/03/is-putin-new-hitler-in-making.html

His country pompously hosted the Olympic Games and then he decided to annex a part of a neighbouring sovereign country to his own empire on the ground of protecting his compatriots from suffering abroad.

Is his name Adolf Hitler? In October 1939, following the start of the invasion of Czechoslovakia, Hitler declared:

For months the Germans in Sudetenland have been suffering under the torture of the Czechoslovak government. […] The Sudeten German population was and is a German. This German minority living there has been ill-treated in the most distressing manner.

Or is his name Vladimir Putin? In March 2014, 75 years later Hitler’s speech in Reichstag on Sudetenland and shortly after the Ukrainian revolution ousted the criminal authoritarian regime of Viktor Yanukovych, Russian forces invaded the Ukrainian republic of Crimea, while Putin appealed to the Council of Federation of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation:

In connection with the extraordinary situation that has developed in Ukraine and the threat to citizens of the Russian Federation, our compatriots, […] I hereby appeal to the Council of Federation of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation to use the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine.

Apart from these quotes, and the striking similarities between the anthem of the Russian parliament and that of Nazi Germany, there are other reasons to believe that convergences between Hitler’s and Putin’s doctrines are not a coincidence. And here is why.

Fascist Eurasianist ideology behind Putin’s Eurasian Union

Putin’s military invasion of Ukraine is driven by revanchist ambitions to restore the Russia-led empire at the expense of sovereign states. Already in 2005, when addressing the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, Putin declared:

Above all, we should acknowledge that the collapse of the Soviet Union was a major geopolitical disaster of the century. As for the Russian nation, it became a genuine drama. Tens of millions of our co-citizens and compatriots found themselves outside Russian territory.

However, the new empire, the Eurasian Union which Putin is seeking to establish in 2015 on the basis of the existing Customs Union of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia is not going to simply duplicate the Soviet Union. Putin will go further; the Eurasian Union has to be interpreted literally in the geographic terms. Ukraine is just the first step. Putin never considered Ukraine “a real state” anyway. In 2008, talking to George Bush at a NATO meeting in Bucharest, Putin said: “You don’t understand, George, that Ukraine is not even a state. What is Ukraine? Part of its territories is Eastern Europe, but the greater part is a gift from us”.

In its modern interpretation, the ideology of Eurasianism is a form of fascism with a distinct Russian colouring. The main advocate of Eurasianism is Aleksandr Dugin, a notorious Russian extremist and leader of the International Eurasian Movement with strong links to fascists in Western Europe and Britain in particular. Dugin’s rise began in 1998 when Putin became Head of Russia’s Federal Security Service: Dugin left the fringe fascist National-Bolshevik Party (NBP) and was appointed as a special advisor to the contemporary Russian Parliament speaker Gennadiy Seleznev.

The flag of Dugin’s National Bolshevik Party

Among the Western fascist ideologues, who have exerted the formative influence on Dugin, one author is of particular interest. This is Belgian extreme right politician Jean-François Thiriart (1922-1992), a convicted collaborationist during the Second World War and a dedicated post-war pan-European fascist. By the beginning of 1980s, Thiriart put forward an idea of the fascist Euro-Soviet Alliance and argued: “If Moscow wants to make Europe European, I preach total collaboration with the Soviet enterprise. I will then be the first to put a red star on my cap. Soviet Europe, yes, without reservations”.

The Euro-Soviet Empire from Dublin to Vladivostok with a capital in Third Rome (Moscow)

In August 1992, Thiriart went to Moscow as a member of the revived European Liberation Front to meet Dugin and other Russian fascists and anti-Semites: Aleksandr Prokhanov, Sergey Baburin and others, among them the leaders of the misleadingly named Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Gennadiy Zyuganov and Yegor Ligatchev.

Aleksandr Dugin and Jean-François Thiriart on the Red Square in Moscow, 1992
Aleksandr Prokhanov, Yegor Ligatchev, Jean-François Thiriart and Aleksandr Dugin in Moscow, 1992

In 1997, while still being a co-leader of the NBP, Dugin published his most important work, The Foundations of Geopolitics. Dugin’s military adviser for this book was General-Lieutenant Nikolay Klokotov who taught at the General Staff Academy of the Armed Forces of Russia. In The Foundation of Geopolitics, grounded the Eurasianist aversion to the US and the Anglo-Saxon world in general. According to him, the planet is roughly divided into three large spaces: the World Island (the US and the whole Anglo-Saxon world), Eurasia (predominantly Central Europe, Russia, and Asia), and the Rimland (the states between the World Island and Eurasia). In Dugin’s view, there is a perennial irresolvable confrontation between the World Island associated with the US dominated “homogenizing New World Order” and the “Land power” of the Russia-oriented “New Eurasian Order”. In classic Manichean tradition, Dugin demonises the US and the whole “World Island” as a “reign of Antichrist”. To fight this “World Island”, Russia has to secure the Eurasian continent first, to build a 21st century version of Thiriart’s Euro-Soviet Empire.

In the same book, Dugin, with the help of General-Lieutenant Klokotov, provided a plan of building the Eurasian Empire. Some regions and countries would be taken by military force (hard power), some – by the power of persuasion (soft power). With regard to Ukraine, Dugin wrote:

The sovereignty of Ukraine represents such a negative phenomenon for the Russian geopolitics that it can, in principle, easily provoke a military conflict. […] Ukraine as an independent state with some territorial ambitions constitutes an enormous threat to the whole Eurasia, and without the solution of the Ukrainian problem, it is meaningless to talk about the continental geopolitics. […] Considering the fact that a simple integration of Moscow with Kiev is impossible and will not result in a stable geopolitical structure […], Moscow should get actively involved in the re-organisation of the Ukrainian space in accordance to the only logical and natural geopolitical model.

This “logical and natural geopolitical model” implies the division of Ukraine into several “zones”, the majority of which will be directly controlled by Moscow. This is something that the Kremlin is already trying to do.

The Kremlin’s current strategy towards Ukraine was tested in Georgia in 2008. For several years before Russia invaded Georgian regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Russian authorities encouraged Georgian citizens of these regions to apply for Russian citizenship. When the time came, the Russian forces successfully provoked the Georgians to respond with fire, and then Russia occupied South Ossetia and Abkhazia on the pretext of protecting Russian citizens and Russian “blue-helmets” in these regions. During the attack on Georgian territories, Dugin urged the Russian military to send tanks on Tbilisi:

“Tanks to Tbilisi!” – this is a voice of our national history! […] Those, who do not second the “Tanks to Tbilisi!”, are not Russians. […] “Tanks to Tbilisi!” – that’s what should be written on every Russian’s forehead.

Dugin himself went to South Ossetia with his followers from the Eurasian Youth Movement, and conducted the talks with the self-appointed leader of pro-Russian South-Ossetian separatists Eduard Kokoyty.

Aleksandr Dugin in South Ossetia ready to kill Georgians, August 2008
Aleksandr Dugin and Eduard Kokoyty, South Ossetia, 2008

The Kremlin’s Eurasianist plan for Ukraine was similar: many years before the Russian invasion of the Crimea, Russian authorities introduced a simple procedure of obtaining Russian citizenship. Moreover, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is also based in the Crimea, in the city of Sevastopol. However, the Kremlin’s Plan A did not work: Ukrainian forces did not fall for provocations and did not open fire even despite the outright military invasion. Plan B for the Kremlin is obviously to carry out a terrorist attack against Russians or its own military forces in the Crimea and then accuse the Ukrainian side of terrorism. Then begin the full-blown invasion. The Goebbels-style propaganda machine is already working.

The Kremlin has already “elected” the Prime Minister of the Crimea, Sergey Aksenov. His ultranationalist party, “The Russian Unity”, obtained 4.02% of the vote in the local Crimean elections in 2010, but this notwithstanding the Kremlin decided he was an appropriate leader of the occupied territories. One historical comparison suggests itself: when Nazi Germany invaded Norway in 1940, the Nazis backed the leadership of Vidkun Quisling, head of the National Unity party which was never able to obtain more that 2.5% of the vote in the parliamentary elections before the invasion. After the Second World War, Quisling was executed and his name became a synonym for “traitor”.

The Kremlin’s Eurasianist plan for the EU is different: while the Baltic States and Poland may indeed be invaded (Putin has accused Poland and Lithuania of training “Ukrainian militants” and large-scale Russian tactical exercises have already started on the borders of these countries), the Kremlin probably relies on soft power in most of the EU countries. The Kremlin’s main allies in the EU are extreme right parties. Putin believes that the European extreme right are on the rise, and when they eventually take power, their countries will leave – and ultimately destroy – the EU to pave a way for the “Euro-Soviet Empire”.

Putin is already a cult person for many European far right activists. The Italian National Front applauded Putin for his anti-gay laws and the disruption of the US/European plans to crack down on Bashar al-Assad’s regime, Andreas Mölzer of the Freedom Party of Austria hailed Putin as a hero who “had managed to steer the post-communist, crisis-ridden Russia into calmer waters”, Nick Griffin of the British National Party praised Putin’s Russia for “a robust, transparent and properly democratic system”, Norwegian extreme right terrorist Anders Breivik wrote of him as “a fair and resolute leader worthy of respect”…

Aleksandr Dugin and Gábor Vona, Moscow, 2013

In May 2013, Jobbik’s leader Gábor Vona visited Moscow to meet with Dugin at the Moscow State University. At the meeting, Vona called the European Union “a treacherous organisation” that “took away our markets, our factories, and filled the shelves of our shops with Western garbage”. Russia, at the same time, managed to “preserve its traditions” and, unlike the EU or the US, “did not worship money and mass culture”. According to Vona, “the role of Russia today is to offset the Americanisation of Europe”. Jobbik’s leader even went so far as to declare that it would be better for Hungary to join the Eurasian Union should occasion arise.

In June 2013, Marine Le Pen, the French National Front’s leader, also visited Moscow. She met with the Speaker of the Russian parliament Sergey Naryshkin and Deputy Prime Minister Dmitriy Rogozin. The latter is one of the most ardent hawks in the Russian government. The same month, Le Pen visited the Ukrainian city of Sevastopol. The details of her visit to the Ukrainian port that hosts the Russian Black Sea Fleet are unknown.

Marine Le Pen and Dmitriy Rogozin, Moscow, 2013
The meeting of Marine Le Pen and Sergey Naryshkin, Moscow, 2013

It now looks increasingly clear that Putin’s Eurasianist plans go far beyond Ukraine which indeed seems to be a contemporary Sudetenland case. In his recent essay, Dugin has outlined the future of Russian Eurasianist expansion:

In its liberationist battle march, Russia will stop neither on the territory of the Crimea, nor of the Dnieper region, nor even on the Western borders of former Ukraine. Our aim is the liberation of Europe from Atlanticist invaders – those who caused the catastrophe in Kyiv and delegated power to the criminal junta. Our aim is the great continental liberation struggle. The battle for Europe lies ahead. Even if we – for our egoistic purposes – secure acceptable borders, we will need to liberate Europe, and not only Central, but also Western Europe. […]

It is just the beginning. That is why the cells of active resistance to American hegemony will be formed not only in the Crimea, Eastern Ukraine, Western Ukraine, but in Europe too.

You called us the “gendarme of Europe”. Yes, very much so. We are gendarmes. We ensure order, law, rights and security. We punish criminals and shackle insurgents. We guard a healthy family and justice. We defend culture and spirit. Faith and morality. Identity and tradition.

We are saint gendarmes.

And we are going to you. To the West.

To defend our borders.

Will there be another “Western betrayal” – a phenomenon that refers to the late 1930s when the West failed to meet the legal and political obligations to protect Central and Eastern Europe from Nazi Germany? Before the West decides how it should act, let us consider the following points.

Why protecting Ukraine is crucial…

…for Ukraine herself

The Ukrainian revolution has toppled the corrupt authoritarian regime of Viktor Yanukovych, which, during its last days, resorted to state-inspired terrorism against the protesters. The early presidential elections are planned for May 2013, and it is evident that a new president will be pro-democratic and pro-European. The early parliamentary elections – although they are not planned at the moment – should take place shortly following the presidential elections. Again, the pro-democratic political forces are most likely to win the elections.

Even if certain members of the far right Svoboda party are represented in the current government, one should understand that this government is transitional and has to deal with only two major problems: (1) the Russian invasion and (2) the economic crisis. Furthermore, popular support for Svoboda has dramatically dwindled throughout 2013. In the 2012 parliamentary elections Svoboda won 10.44% of the vote;  by the end of January – beginning of February 2014, according to the opinion polls, only 5.6% of the voters would have cast their ballot for Svoboda in a parliamentary election – enough to pass the electoral threshold but obviously too poor to exert significant influence on Ukraine’s politics. Even worse for the party, its leader Oleh Tyahnybok’s presidential rating fell from 10.4% in March 2013 to 3.8% at the end of January – beginning of February 2014, making him a no-go presidential candidate. It is even entirely possible that support for Svoboda as a party may decline further. Despite the sensationalist, Kremlin-inspired “analyses” claiming that Ukraine was facing “a neo-fascist coup”, Svoboda has been discredited during the revolution and – if Ukraine survives the ongoing Russian invasion – is unlikely to regain the support it enjoyed in 2012.

Furthermore, Ukraine is a multicultural country, and the Crimea in particular is a home to several ethnic communities. It is the only home to the Crimean Tatars, who have taken part in the Ukrainian revolution and fought against Yanukovych’s criminal authoritarian regime. According to the reports from the Crimea, Crimean Tatars are going to fight the Russian occupation forces in case of the full-blown invasion, but if the Crimean Tatars are defeated, it will amount to genocide of the Crimean Tatar population.

…for the region

If Ukraine survives the Russian invasion, it will become a normal European democracy and a source of stability in the region. Moreover, the successful democratic transformation of Ukraine may inspire the pro-democratic processes in Russia.

If Russian invades and partitions Ukraine, it will become a permanent battlefield of different powers and a source of instability right on the border of the EU.

…for Europe

Putin is not going to stop with invading Ukraine. His plans are not only revanchist but ardently imperialistic too. Dugin’s fascist Eurasianist ideology, which seems to lie at the heart of Putin’s projected Eurasian Union, is underpinned by a vision of the contemporary version of the Thiriart’s Euro-Soviet Empire which includes the whole Eurasian continent.

Around a million of ethnic Russians live in the three Baltic States which once were Soviet republics. What if Putin decides that they are “suffering under the torture” of “Lithuanian, Latvian and Estonian nationalists”? The invasion of South Ossetia and Abkhazia gave Putin an idea that the Sudetenland scenario works. If it works for Ukraine too, then the Baltic States will be next. And then Putin may change the scenario, like Hitler did after the invasion of Czechoslovakia, Poland and annexation of Austria.

Does this sound mad? It definitely does. A few days ago, German chancellor Angela Merkel told US President Barack Obama that after talking to Vladimir Putin she was unsure whether he was “in touch with reality”. According to Merkel, Putin is living “in another world”.

…for the world

In 1994-1996, Ukraine voluntarily gave up the world’s third largest nuclear weapons stockpile. In exchange for this unprecedented act, the US, UK and Russia signed with Ukraine the Budapest Memorandum which included security assurances against “the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine”. Russia has already violated the Budapest Memorandum. If the US and UK ignore its legal commitments and do not protect Ukraine, then all the efforts for world nuclear disarmament will be in vain. Ukraine would be a precedent: Why give up nuclear weapons if they are the only guaranty of political independence and territorial integrity? Moreover, those countries that do not have the nuclear weapons yet, will start building them, and a new nuclear arms race will be set in motion in an increasingly unstable world.

Is Putin a new Hitler? Not yet, but he may be a Hitler in the making with a fascist Eurasianist ideology underpinning his aggressive actions. If the world does not stop him, he will become a Hitler with a nuke.

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