In the nearest future, around November 3-15 (unless there are significant political changes that can cancel or postpone the implementation of this plan), the vatniks [Russians] will go on the offensive, inflicting powerful blows to our troops.
The main directions [of the offensive] will be Shchastya–Svatovo [Luhansk region], Debaltseve–Donetsk airport, and Berdyansk–Zaporizhia, south of Volnovakha.
In addition, following tradition, they will simultaneously ignite the rear of our troops, i.e. [we] should anticipate sabotage in Kharkiv and Zaporizhia regions.
Remember how the Ilovaisk encirclement was being formed – right as everyone was watching, live?… Everyone knew everything, the government authorities had 10 days (an enormous amount of time in war terms) to rectify the situation; however, several hundred people died in the online mode.
Do you think anything has changed since then?..
It’s all the same:
– Everyone knows when and where the attack will take place, and yet again the authorities do nothing.
Our troops are certainly in a much better shape now than [they were] in August. But [they] will have to fight to their death at the lines of defense, without the chance to maneuver effectively.
For a very simple reason – there are no other troops to cover them.
And while the Russians are building a three-tier strike formation, our troops’ first tier is followed by some scant, scattered forces that make up the second.
In the future, this will result in new cauldrons [type of encirclement], more encirclements, executions, prisoner convoys, and the loss of key areas.
It goes without saying that we will still give them grief and chase them back, but this will be achieved at a very high price.
This price could be lower if:
– the mobilization was done correctly;
– the reserves and defense system were created outside the zone of conflict;
– the counter-offensive strike groups for counteroffensive were organized, and many more.
Why isn’t this being done?
Firstly, one needs to understand these things, to truly know the ins and outs. At minimum, [one needs to] want to do it.
And secondly, don’t [the authorities] have better things to do?
They are [busy] dividing their [parliamentary] portfolios.
I wonder, what “ordinary people” will do when they finally realize that our system, at its core, is unreformable?
Source: Alexey Arestovich FB